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Race 8 1400m Track: |
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Only a small field with Activo likely to find a comfortable lead. M T ROUGE (1) clearly deserves top billing after a determined Mombetsu win over 1000m, where she held Sergeant Pepper by a head and was well found in betting. The main reservation is the rise to 1400m, especially given she was beaten over 11 lengths the start prior, but that last-start turnaround gives her the strongest winning platform. ACTIVO (6) is the main danger on consistency, with two Kasamatsu seconds and placings from both attempts at this distance. She still has to convert those minor placings into a win, but her profile is solid. LACRIME (2) has placed three times from five starts and was second to On Bait two runs back, though her latest third was beaten over 11 lengths. KANHIZAKURA (4) improved sharply when third at Mombetsu at big odds, but the step to 1400m asks another question.
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| 1 | 471 |
M T ROUGE
T TAGUCHI 2YO DK B FILLY 55.0KG Returns from five weeks off after a determined 1000m Mombetsu win, leading and holding Sergeant Pepper by a head on fast ground while near the top of betting. That was a sharp turnaround from a seventh to Ryuno Achilles when unwanted and beaten over 11 lengths. Race fit now and with Tsutsui Yusuke aboard, she rates clearly, but 1400m is the new test. If she carries that toughness up in trip, she is the one they have to beat. |
1 TSUTSUI YUSUKE |
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| 2 | 70223 |
LACRIME
MASAYOSHI GOTO 2YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Placed again at Kasamatsu last start, but the bare margin matters: third to Satsuki Quantum, beaten over 11 lengths after working home evenly as a well-supported runner. The run prior had more merit when second to On Bait, beaten three lengths after being run down late. With three placings from five starts and Kazuki Akatsu aboard, she shapes more as a reliable place hope than a strong win play. |
2 KAZUKI AKATSU |
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| 3 | 757 |
HALF SIZE
KATSUYOSHI ITO 2YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Finished last at Kasamatsu last start, tailed off behind Satsuki Quantum after being asked to make up plenty of ground and proving unequal to it. She was also fifth here two back, beaten over 12 lengths by On Bait at big odds. Unplaced in three starts and already twice unplaced at the distance, she needs a sizeable form turnaround to trouble the main chances. |
3 ISSHIN MATSUMOTO |
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| 4 | 08663 |
KANHIZAKURA
YUYA GOTO 2YO CHESTNUT FILLY 55.0KG Improved sharply at Mombetsu last start, finishing third to Ikor over 1000m and beaten just under three lengths despite starting big odds. Her previous sixth to Wilfred, beaten seven lengths, was plain enough, so the profile is mixed. The Yuya Goto yard is a plus and she has found some form, but the first attempt at 1400m keeps her in the place bracket. |
4 MYOJO HARU DAI |
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| 5 | 9996 |
TYREMENT
MASAHARU FUJITA 2YO BAY COLT 56.0KG Returns from five weeks off after a sixth at Mombetsu, beaten just over nine lengths by Bellagio Miraggio when unwanted in the market and unable to quicken. Two back he conceded a huge start and was ninth to Malatang over 1600m, beaten over 12 lengths at long odds. Unplaced in four starts, he has to find much more than recent efforts have shown. |
5 HOSOKAWA SATOSHI |
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| 6 | 422 |
ACTIVO
YOSHINAGA OHASHI 2YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Returns from five weeks off with the most reliable Kasamatsu profile in the race, having run second here at her past two starts. Last time she was beaten nine lengths by Gifuno Oumasan after working home evenly, but the prior second to Hiruno Lugano, beaten two and a half lengths, reads well for this. Placed twice from two tries at 1400m and partnered by leading local rider Tatsuya Watanabe, she is a genuine winning threat. |
6 TATSUYA WATANABE |
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| 7 | 77045 |
CHAIRO SUMMER
T TAGUCHI 2YO BAY FILLY 53.0KG Came under pressure late and was tailed off behind Satsuki Quantum at Kasamatsu last start, after going around as an outside chance in the betting. The prior fourth to On Bait was also safely held, beaten nine lengths in a small field. She gets 53kg and is race fit, but being unplaced in six starts leaves her with plenty to prove. |
7 KYOKA FUKAZAWA |
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