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Race 11 2100m Track: |
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Strong tempo with Okemaru, Shin Believe and Dante Barows leading the charge. COURS MIRABEAU (4) sets the standard after winning the Listed Meitetsu Hai over 1800m at Chukyo Dirt by three and a half lengths, having already run second to Realest at Tokyo Dirt the start prior. His record at this distance is a major asset and he looks the most complete winning case. SHIN BELIEVE (9) is the clear danger, coming off a neck win in a 3yo+ ALLOW at Chukyo Dirt after a narrow second at Kokura Dirt, though the rise to 2100m is the question he has to answer. OUTRANGE (1) brings solid recent form, including a second to Mikki Fight at Ohi and a Nagoya win over Odilon, with barrier one helping offset the 59kg impost. MERRY CHRISTMAS (3) has G3 Heian Stakes depth and a solid Fukushima Dirt placing, but the new trip keeps him slightly below the top pair.
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| 1 | x312x |
OUTRANGE
R OKUBO 6YO BAY HORSE 59.0KG Toshio Terada Returns from a three-month break after finishing second to Mikki Fight at Ohi, beaten just under two lengths and respected near the top of an open market. He had earlier beaten Odilon by a neck at Nagoya as odds-on favourite, so the current form reads well. Barrier one should let him race handy, though 59kg is the leveller. With solid distance credentials, he has a strong winning profile. |
1 KOHEI MATSUYAMA |
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| 2 | 9740x |
CA VA
KAZUYA IBI 8YO DK B HORSE 55.0KG Takeshi Fujita Returns from a four-month break after being never competitive and beaten out of sight by Namidano Kiss at Kanazawa at long odds. His previous fourth in a 3yo+ A1 over 1500m here was better, but still came in a five-runner field and he was beaten eight and a half lengths. The class relief and 55kg help, yet recent evidence leaves him with plenty to find. |
2 TAICHI SUZUKI |
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| 3 | 1143x |
MERRY CHRISTMAS
HITOSHI KOTEGAWA 4YO BAY HORSE 55.0KG Kazutaka Hosaka Returns from a three-month break after a sound third in a 3yo+ Open over 1700m at Fukushima Dirt, beaten just under two lengths after being near the top of betting. Two back, he was fourth in the G3 Heian Stakes at Kyoto Dirt and kept working when unwanted in the market. The 2100m is new ground, but the quality of the recent form keeps him in the minor-money mix. |
3 KOSEI MIURA |
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| 4 | 3x821 |
COURS MIRABEAU
RYO TERASHIMA 6YO BAY HORSE 55.0KG G1 Racing Co. Ltd. Returns from a two-month let-up after winning the Listed Meitetsu Hai over 1800m at Chukyo Dirt by three and a half lengths, scoring with authority from Z Lien. That followed a second to Realest at Tokyo Dirt, so the preparation has built neatly. He is proven at the distance and arrives with race fitness on his side. The form line makes him the runner they have to beat. |
4 RYUSEI SAKAI |
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| 5 | 9x878 |
WIN GRAND BLEU
KAZUYA IBI 6YO DK B HORSE 55.0KG Win Co. Ltd. Recent form has fallen away, with a last placing in a 3yo+ A2 over 1700m at Kanazawa where he was beaten over 18 lengths at big odds. The start prior at Sonoda was worse, as he dropped out sharply and was beaten out of sight over 1870m. He has some weight relief, but the longer trip is a query and he needs a major form reversal. |
5 KOGA HIROTAKA |
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| 6 | 1x12x |
ODILON
TOMOTAKA MORISAWA 7YO BAY HORSE 58.0KG Yuki Hashimoto Returns from a five-month break after going close at Nagoya, beaten a neck by Outrange when picking up strongly late. He had won at Funabashi over 2400m the start prior, beating Seraphic Call by half a length at long odds. The jockey combination is reliable and he has placed at this distance, but the fresh gap and need to turn the tables on Outrange temper the winning case. |
6 TOMOHIRO YOSHIMURA |
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| 7 | x6x1x |
OKEMARU
NOBUHARU MORIMOTO 4YO CHESTNUT HORSE 55.0KG Returns from a three-month break after leading and winning a 3yo+ A1 over 1700m at Sonoda by five lengths, having been heavily backed into very short odds-on territory. That was a sharp rebound from a plain Saga sixth behind Kazeno Runner. His career record is outstanding, but the step to 2100m has to be respected as the key doubt. He looks a genuine place chance. |
7 OSAMU SHIMOHARA |
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| 8 | 111x1 |
DANTE BAROWS
MASASHI ATARASHI 6YO BAY HORSE 55.0KG Hirotsugu Inokuma Kept the winning run going first-up at Kanazawa, scoring by half a length from Kile as an odds-on favourite. He had also won at Sonoda over 1870m two back, beating Inversion by three and a half lengths, and his past 12 months read strongly. The track-and-trip record is a plus, although this deeper contest asks for another step beyond a place profile. |
8 F KOMAKI |
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| 9 | 46x21 |
SHIN BELIEVE
HIDEYUKI MORI 4YO CHESTNUT HORSE 55.0KG Susumu Fujita Returns from a two-month let-up after winning a 3yo+ ALLOW over 1800m at Chukyo Dirt by a neck from Yuto The Yuto, confirming the promise of his Kokura Dirt second to God Blue Bee. He is third-up now and has been well found in both runs this campaign. The 2100m is the fresh test, but his consistency and race fitness put him firmly among the main chances. |
9 K TOSAKI |
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| 10 | 4331x |
NAMIDANO KISS
KAZUMASA KANEDA 5YO BAY HORSE 55.0KG Mill Farm Co. Ltd. Returns from a four-month break after thrashing Ryuno Break at Kanazawa, winning by a long way when near the top of betting. He had earlier run third to Sin Limites here as a well-supported favourite, closing strongly into the frame. His track and distance statistics are excellent, but this field demands stronger proof than that wide-margin local win alone provides. |
10 JUNKI MOCHIZUKI |
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| 11 | x334x |
YUMENO HONOO
MAMORU TANAKA 6YO CHESTNUT HORSE 55.0KG YASUYUKI SUDA Returns from a five-month break after finishing fourth to Outrange at Nagoya, beaten four lengths when unwanted in the market. The run prior at Kochi was a third as a very short odds-on favourite, but he was still beaten just over four lengths. His overall record and partnership with H Yoshihara are excellent, yet recent results say he must sharpen up to worry the leading hopes. |
11 H YOSHIHARA |
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| 12 | 5x47x |
HO O ROULETTE
TORU KURITA 7YO BAY HORSE 58.0KG Yoshihisa Ozasa Returns from a five-month break after finishing seventh to Outrange at Nagoya, beaten nine and a half lengths after offering little late. His Kawasaki fourth beforehand was more respectable, though still six and a half lengths from Kazeno Runner. The class drop and Y Iwata partnership give him some each-way grounding, but the distance query keeps the winning case guarded. |
12 Y IWATA |
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