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Race 11 1200m Track: |
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Swagger should lead but there are a few other speedy types who can keep him honest. REPRESENT (1) sets the standard after back-to-back Mombetsu wins, the latest over this course when odds-on and too strong for Yamanin Passe. His perfect track-and-distance record makes him the runner the others must reach. KAMIWA MATTEIRU (3) is the logical danger: he was third behind Represent last time, has won three times at the course and distance, and has the profile to keep the favourite honest. LADY PYRO (9) comes through a stronger recent placing than the market expected, running second to Angel, and her long record over this track and trip gives her a genuine claims base. FENG MEILI (12) is harder to line up after a plain Niigata Dirt return, but her narrow 4yo+ ALLOW win two starts back keeps her in the discussion if she rebounds sharply.
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| 1 | 02111 |
REPRESENT
Fuyuki Igarashi 6YO BAY HORSE 57.0KG Susumu Fujita Arrives in winning form after scoring at Mombetsu last start, coming from rearward to beat Yamanin Passe by just under a length as the odds-on favourite. He had also won a 3yo+ B3 here by a length and a half, so the recent pattern is hard to knock. Three wins and one place from four starts at this track and distance make him the clear benchmark if he reproduces that finish. |
1 RYU ABE |
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| 2 | 43848 |
SWAGGER
TAKAHIRO MATSUMOTO 4YO CHESTNUT HORSE 56.0KG GET NEXT Co. Ltd. Worked home only evenly when eighth behind Represent at Mombetsu last start, beaten five and a half lengths after going around at long odds. His previous fourth over 1000m was sound enough, but he again started at big odds and gave away too much start. A track-and-trip win is in the book, yet he needs a sharper performance to worry the main chances. |
2 TAKAFUMI HATTORI |
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| 3 | 14143 |
KAMIWA MATTEIRU
JUNJI TANAKA 3YO CHESTNUT COLT 55.0KG Held his ground for third behind Represent at Mombetsu last start, beaten just over two lengths and starting near the top of an open market. Two back he made late ground from well back when fourth in a COND here behind Trips. With three wins at this track and distance and a solid record for Yuji Iwahashi, he remains a genuine threat if he can bridge that margin. |
3 YUJI IWAHASHI |
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| 4 | 00200 |
TOA SAGITTARIUS
KUNIAKI SASAKI 3YO DK B COLT 55.0KG Takayama Land Co. Ltd. Led narrowly into the lane in a 3yo+ A2 at Mombetsu last start but weakened out to finish second last, beaten over 10 lengths at long odds. He had also been safely held at Sapporo the run prior, finishing tenth behind Levi. His placed record at this track and distance offers minor context, but recent form says he must lift substantially. |
4 FUMA ONO |
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| 5 | 45398 |
ARAIGUMA PUNCH
HIDETOMO NUMAZAWA 5YO DK B HORSE 56.0KG Made some late ground from well back when eighth over 1000m at Mombetsu last start, but he was beaten just under five lengths at big odds and never threatened Liontarina. That followed a ninth behind Represent when he was never in the picture. Masaaki Kuwamura has a good record on him, though the rise in trip must produce a clear lift. |
5 MASAAKI KUWAMURA |
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| 6 | 35246 |
DIOS MESSAGE
MASAKAZU MURAKAMI 6YO BAY HORSE 57.0KG Closed off with some purpose when sixth in a 3yo+ A2 at Mombetsu last start, beaten just over four lengths by Angel after giving away ground. Before that he was fourth behind Represent, beaten just over three lengths while unwanted in betting. His strong record with Yamato Ishikawa keeps him in the mix, though he looks more a place hope than a dominant winning chance. |
6 YAMATO ISHIKAWA |
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| 7 | 57574 |
SANYO TEIO
KAZUHISA YAMADA 4YO BAY HORSE 56.0KG Improved to fourth behind Angel at Mombetsu last start, beaten just over three lengths despite starting at big odds. The run prior was only fair when seventh behind Represent, and he has not placed in five starts across the past 12 months. His career strike rate is respectable, but the distance remains a query and he looks a minor-money prospect. |
7 RYOGA FUJITA |
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| 8 | 65658 |
MUSGRAVITE
NOBORU YONEKAWA 6YO CHESTNUT GELDING 57.0KG Sunday Racing Co. Ltd. Conceded a big start and finished eighth behind Angel at Mombetsu last start, beaten five lengths at long odds. His previous run was weaker again when last in a five-runner 3yo+ A1 over 1700m, beaten over 14 lengths by Soldier Field. Unplaced in two tries at this distance, he needs more finishing power to become a factor. |
8 SHINYA MATSUI |
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| 9 | 13252 |
LADY PYRO
MORIYAMA TAKEHIRO 5YO DK B MARE 54.0KG Ran above market expectations when second to Angel in a 3yo+ A2 at Mombetsu last start, beaten two lengths after really knuckling down late. She had been fifth behind Represent the start prior, but her broader course-and-distance record is sound with five wins and 13 places from 34 attempts. That consistency gives her a strong each-way case. |
9 MANATO KUROSAWA |
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| 10 | 88x00 |
PUREA LEGEND
MASAHIRO SAITO 3YO CHESTNUT COLT 55.0KG Shunho Tsuru Finished second last at Sapporo over 1800m last start, beaten over 11 lengths by Hayabusa Sakichan and unwanted in the market. The run before was even harder to like, as he was tailed off over 1800m at Mombetsu. Third-up and dropping in class are positives, but he needs those factors to spark a sharp turnaround for a place result. |
10 SHOMA KANAYAMA |
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| 11 | 85000 |
KURA SABEL
MASATAKA SAKUMA 7YO DK B HORSE 57.0KG Finished last behind Angel at Mombetsu last start, beaten over 11 lengths after making no impact from well back. He was also last behind Represent the run prior, beaten over 13 lengths and unwanted in the market. One track-and-distance win is noted, but the current form is too plain to recommend without major improvement. |
11 YUKI MIYAUCHI |
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| 12 | 861x0 |
FENG MEILI
KUNIAKI SASAKI 7YO CHESTNUT MARE 54.0KG Normandy Thoroughbred Racing Co. Ltd. Returns from a two-month break after finishing second last in a 3yo+ ALLOW at Niigata Dirt, beaten over 12 lengths after failing to finish off. The run prior was much better, fighting hard to beat Mirai Harmony by a nose in a 4yo+ ALLOW at the same venue. First look at Mombetsu is a query, but that win keeps her capable of rebounding into the placings. |
12 GENTA OCHIAI |
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