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Race 6 1600m Track: |
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Despite the small field Muscle Chummy, Blast Black and Will Mischievous can set a decent tempo. WILL MISCHIEVOUS (5) gets the nod in a race where the main chances are quite well exposed. He has filled second at his past two Mombetsu runs, including when beaten three lengths by Blue Cosmos as an odds-on favourite, and his two wins and three placings from six starts at this track and distance give him the strongest suitability profile. MUSCLE CHUMMY (6) is the obvious danger after winning by five lengths from Summer Bride as an odds-on favourite, with her narrow second to Mana Sky beforehand confirming the form is no one-off. BLAST BLACK (7) has been beaten two lengths into second at his past two and owns a perfect top-three record from five starts, although he still has to convert that consistency. M P FLIP (1) closed strongly into third at big odds last start and has minor-money claims if that effort is repeated.
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| 1 | 73473 |
M P FLIP
MASAHIRO SAITO 4YO GREY HORSE 54.0KG Masato Ueda Worked home strongly for third behind Blue Cosmos in a 3yo+ C3 at Mombetsu last start, beaten four and a half lengths at big odds on fast ground. That was a clear lift on the start prior, when last behind Mana Sky after settling rearward and weakening badly. He tends to be ridden off the speed, so needs to be brought into the race at the right time, but the latest run gives him a genuine place profile. |
1 YUTA OGAWA |
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| 2 | 10578 |
BASED TRATRA
KUNIO HIMORI 4YO BAY HORSE 57.0KG CHEVAL ATTACHE Co. Ltd. Failed to get into the race when eighth behind Yamanin Elama in a 3yo+ C3 at Mombetsu last start, beaten just under nine lengths at big odds. His previous run was weaker again, seventh behind Ho O Earnest and beaten over 15 lengths after making no late impression. A past track-and-trip win is noted, but the current form says he has plenty to turn around. |
2 MASAAKI KUWAMURA |
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| 3 | 9x874 |
MEISHO GEKIHA
JUNJI TANAKA 4YO BAY GELDING 54.0KG Yoshio Matsumoto Worked home fairly for fourth behind Blue Cosmos in a 3yo+ C3 here last start, beaten just over five lengths at long odds. The run prior was plain, conceding a huge start before finishing seventh behind Moon Rainbow. He is race fit and the stable has strength at this venue, but an 18-start maiden record and distance query make the winning task difficult. |
3 JUNKI WATANABE |
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| 4 | 70950 |
MISSION EYES
KUNIO HIMORI 4YO BAY HORSE 57.0KG Was second last behind Grandma's Dream over 1000m at Mombetsu last start, beaten seven lengths after settling rearward and making no impression. Two back, he was fifth over 1200m behind Kiminonawa Oryo at long odds. The sharp rise to 1600m is a genuine query, and his winless track and distance records leave him needing a major form reversal. |
4 SHINYA MATSUI |
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| 5 | 23322 |
WILL MISCHIEVOUS
HIROYUKI OGUNI 3YO CHESTNUT COLT 57.0KG Has been around the mark without winning, finishing second behind Blue Cosmos in a 3yo+ C3 here last start when beaten three lengths as an odds-on favourite. He was also runner-up to Mana Sky the run prior, beaten a length after being sent out favourite. The defeat at short odds is the query, but two wins and three places from six starts at this track and distance make him the most reliable winning option. |
5 YAMATO ISHIKAWA |
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| 6 | 23x21 |
MUSCLE CHUMMY
Fuyuki Igarashi 3YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Made a strong statement at Mombetsu last start, winning a 3yo+ C4 by five lengths from Summer Bride after starting odds-on and putting a clear gap on the field. That followed a narrow second to Mana Sky, beaten a head, so she has come back in excellent order. One win and two places from four starts at this track and distance adds substance, and she is a major winning threat again. |
6 RYU ABE |
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| 7 | 21122 |
BLAST BLACK
JUNJI TANAKA 3YO DK B COLT 57.0KG Has not missed the top three in five starts, with two wins and three placings giving him a very honest profile. He led and was run down late when second to Yamanin Elama here last start, beaten two lengths, and produced a similar result behind Ho O Earnest two back. He should again put himself in the contest, but the last two finishes point more to a solid place chance than a standout winning edge. |
7 GENTA OCHIAI |
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