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Race 5 1200m Track: |
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Lack of early speed means Morono Rapido could find the lead. KING'S MESSAGE (9) brings the most reliable recent form, with two seconds from two Mombetsu runs this campaign and a clear edge over Emeral Fine from their latest clash. He was beaten three lengths as odds-on favourite last start, so there is still a winning question to answer, but his race fitness and repeated 1200m placings make him the one to beat. KATE BAROWS (10) is harder to warm to on raw finishing positions, yet she drops back from 1600m, carries 52kg again and was better two runs ago when fifth here. EMERAL FINE (4) has placed twice from three attempts at the track and distance and can improve off a last-start third, though the margin behind Kitano Sirius was sizeable. SANTA CALIZ (7) rebounded sharply when second to Boules De Neige here and looks a genuine danger if she repeats that 1200m effort.
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| 1 | 0x00x |
MY LOVE NORIPI
JUNJI TANAKA 3YO DK B FILLY 55.0KG Norio Nakatani Returns from a four-month break after finishing 13th in a 3yo Maiden over 1800m at Kyoto Dirt, beaten over 19 lengths after conceding a huge start. She had also been well held at Hanshin, finishing 14th and beaten over 15 lengths when unwanted in the market. The class drop is the obvious positive, but the back in trip and lack of exposed form mean she must improve sharply to turn that into more than a minor-money chance. |
1 YUJI IWAHASHI |
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| 2 | 45668 |
HOOK SENCHO
MORIYAMA TAKEHIRO 3YO BAY COLT 57.0KG Nobuo Egawa Finished eighth here in a 3yo+ C4 two weeks ago, beaten five lengths by Boules De Neige after settling rearward at big odds. The run prior was a sixth behind Riko Nick, beaten just over four lengths, and he did pick up late. Even so, he remains winless from 17 starts and unplaced in nine tries at this track and distance, so he needs a clear lift despite the class-drop tag. |
2 MANATO KUROSAWA |
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| 3 | 08355 |
SHOW ME THE MONEY
YOSHIMI YANAGIZAWA 6YO BAY MARE 55.0KG Tomokazu Iizuka Was closer last start when fifth to Boules De Neige at Mombetsu, beaten two and a half lengths at big odds, after being right there late. Her previous fifth behind Sakura Piacere was less convincing, as she was handy but did not finish off. The key support is her record over this track and distance, with two wins and three places from 17 starts, making her a practical place hope rather than a dominant winning case. |
3 SHOMA KANAYAMA |
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| 4 | x0393 |
EMERAL FINE
NOZOMI ONO 3YO BAY GELDING 57.0KG Tsutomu Takahashi Led and kept battling when third behind Kitano Sirius here last start, though the beaten margin was over 12 lengths. Two back he was only fair through the line when ninth to Fawkes Up, so he still has to sharpen his finish. The counter is that he has placed twice from three starts at this track and distance and again gets Fuma Ono, giving him a sound platform in a race lacking many polished profiles. |
4 FUMA ONO |
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| 5 | 70988 |
SHIRAKAWAGO
HIROAKI SAKURAI 3YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Yoshitaka Suzuki Dropped out badly over 1700m here last start, finishing eighth behind Night Sailing and beaten over 18 lengths after settling miles back. The previous run was also plain, finishing last over 1800m and beaten over 14 lengths by Cordiality at long odds. Coming back in trip does not solve the main issue on recent evidence, and an unplaced record from ten starts leaves her with plenty to find. |
5 ASAHI WAKASUGI |
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| 6 | 0x078 |
MORONO RAPIDO
JUNJI TANAKA 3YO BAY COLT 57.0KG Isao Moroka Failed to justify market respect last start when eighth behind Bear Bruges at Mombetsu, beaten over 12 lengths after offering little late. His previous seventh to Fawkes Up was more respectable, beaten four lengths as an outside chance, but he remains unplaced from seven starts. The rider and trainer profile is strong, yet his own form needs to improve before he becomes a serious winning threat. |
6 GENTA OCHIAI |
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| 7 | 90002 |
SANTA CALIZ
MASAHIRO SAITO 3YO CHESTNUT FILLY 55.0KG Hidaka Breeders Union Co. Ltd. Produced a much better run here last start, finishing second to Boules De Neige over 1200m and beaten two lengths after finishing strongly. That was a sharp improvement on her last at Kokura over 1800m, where she was unwanted in betting and beaten over 19 lengths by Red Palladium. She is still a 13-start maiden, but the latest Mombetsu effort gives her genuine place appeal if repeated. |
7 MASAAKI KUWAMURA |
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| 8 | 70079 |
TIGER HEART
HIROAKI SAKURAI 5YO DK B HORSE 54.0KG Was second last behind Boules De Neige here two weeks ago, beaten six lengths after sitting just off the pace and only battling. The start prior was weaker again, finishing seventh to La Villette and beaten just over eight lengths at big odds. He has three placings from 19 starts, but the winless record and no placings from nine tries at this track and distance leave him needing improvement. |
8 JUNKI WATANABE |
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| 9 | 00x22 |
KING'S MESSAGE
HIROYUKI OGUNI 3YO BAY COLT 57.0KG Makio Okada Has come back in consistent order, finishing second at both Mombetsu runs this campaign. He was beaten three lengths by Kitano Sirius last start as odds-on favourite after looming without quite threatening, following a one-length second to La Villette when run down late. He has placed in both starts here and in two of four at 1200m, so the profile is strong if he converts the chances he has been getting. |
9 YAMATO ISHIKAWA |
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| 10 | 87756 |
KATE BAROWS
NOZOMI ONO 3YO CHESTNUT FILLY 52.0KG Hirotsugu Inokuma Finished sixth behind Muscle Chummy over 1600m here last start, beaten eight and a half lengths at long odds after settling rearward. Her better recent reference is the fifth to Riko Nick two back, beaten four lengths when unwanted in the market but picking up nicely late. The 52kg helps and she is race fit, though a winless 12-start record and the drop in trip keep the assessment measured. |
10 YUTA OGAWA |
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| 11 | 0x88 |
HELIOPOLIS
TOMOKI KUROKAWA 3YO DK B COLT 57.0KG U.Oshima B. Returns from a two-month break after being well beaten by 21 lengths in a 3yo Maiden over 1700m at Sapporo Dirt, where he gave away a big start and never got into the race. He had also finished eighth there a week earlier, beaten over 17 lengths by Wonder Blitz at big odds. The class drop and third-up profile are positives on paper, but his exposed form leaves him with a sizeable task. |
11 SHINYA MATSUI |
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