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Race 1 1400m Track: |
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Off the inside draw Willy's Rock should bounce straight to the lead and set a solid tempo. WILLY'S ROCK (1) clearly sets the standard after consecutive Saga wins, the latest a nine-length success in 3yo+ C2 company when sent out a dominant favourite. His 1400m record is the key strength and the move to Urawa looks no reason to desert him. GO GO LOUIS (8) is the main threat on recent substance, having finished third at Kawasaki, beaten just over a length, after again being respected in betting. NOVEMBER BATHE (5) is harder to line up because her Niigata form reads poorly, but the assessed class drop keeps her in the winning conversation if she can show more second-up. LORD EL DORADO (3) has the most reliable minor-money profile of the remaining selections, with a Kanazawa second two back and a fair closing effort last start, though he still has to turn that into a sharper winning performance.
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| 1 | 63211 |
WILLY'S ROCK
TAKASHI MIZUNO 3YO CHESTNUT COLT 56.0KG Y's Racing Co. Ltd. Returns from a five-week let-up in excellent order, having won a 3yo+ C2 at Saga by nine lengths as a dominant favourite at a very short odds-on quote. That followed a five-length Saga win over Sunrise Hunter, so the form pattern is decisive rather than accidental. Barrier one suits his natural leading style, and with two wins and a placing from three runs at the distance, he is the one they have to beat. |
1 RYO NOVATA |
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| 2 | x7080 |
SHINANO CRYSTAL
YOSHIKAZU KANUMA 3YO GREY FILLY 54.0KG Returns from a two-month break after finishing tenth over 800m at Urawa, beaten just under ten lengths by Sara Mischief, when unwanted in the market and unable to make ground. The run prior was similar, eighth here and beaten just over eight lengths. The rise to 1400m is a genuine query, and being unplaced in five track-and-distance attempts leaves her needing a sharp turnaround. |
2 KOSEI AKIMOTO |
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| 3 | 00726 |
LORD EL DORADO
YUTAKA KAWASHIMA 3YO CHESTNUT COLT 56.0KG Lord Horse Club Co. Ltd. Returns from a five-week let-up after finishing sixth in a 3yo A4 at Kanazawa, beaten just over six lengths by Crimson Burst, but he did pick up nicely in the straight. His previous 3yo B2 second at Kanazawa, beaten a neck by Rikea Fedelini at long odds, reads better for this. The distance remains a small query, though his recent closing efforts give him a realistic place profile. |
3 MAI FUKUHARA |
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| 4 | 79359 |
KASHINO YUMEMIZUKI
YOSHIKAZU KANUMA 3YO BAY COLT 56.0KG Tsutomu Kashiwagi Returns from a two-month break after a ninth in a 3yo Maiden over 1200m at Niigata Dirt, beaten over 10 lengths by Spinning Globe when unwanted in the market and never in the race. He was also beaten ten lengths at Saga before that, despite being near the top of an open market. The class drop helps, but the maiden record and rise in trip keep the winning case restrained. |
4 YUJIRO TANABATA |
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| 5 | 9x0x0 |
NOVEMBER BATHE
Yumiko Iriguchi 3YO BAY FILLY 54.0KG Masatake Iida Returns from a two-month break and is second-up after finishing 13th in a 3yo Maiden at Niigata, beaten just over eight lengths by Noble Couronne at big odds. She settled handy there but failed to challenge, while two back she was second last and beaten over 11 lengths. The raw form is plain, but the class drop is significant enough to keep her in the winning mix if she can lift sharply. |
5 YOSHIMI HANZAWA |
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| 6 | 09406 |
KIMPATSU BIJIN
HIROHITO NOGUCHI 3YO CHESTNUT FILLY 54.0KG Returns from a six-week break with plenty to find after finishing sixth at Urawa, beaten over 14 lengths by Okashi Daisuki Man at big odds. Her previous run here was worse, last and beaten over 20 lengths behind M T Raika after settling miles back. She has had chances at this track and distance without placing, so the class drop alone is not enough to make a strong case. |
6 RYOMA KIMATSUKA |
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| 7 | 37469 |
M V P CALL
MORIO KAWAMURA 3YO BAY FILLY 54.0KG Returns from a two-month break after being tailed off at Urawa behind Ukiyono Messiah, having conceded a huge start and never entered the race. Her earlier sixth here behind Ange Reine was more competitive, beaten seven and a half lengths, but still only battling from the turn. Three career placings provide a small base, though she needs to rediscover much better form to threaten. |
7 SHOYA HOZONO |
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| 8 | 7253 |
GO GO LOUIS
TAKASHI MIZUNO 3YO BAY GELDING 55.0KG Returns from a five-week let-up after a solid third at Kawasaki, beaten just over a length by Riko Walleye, when near the top of betting and working home evenly. The previous fifth behind Cutie Phaethon was less convincing after he loomed and failed to go on, but he has placed twice from four starts at 1400m. Still a maiden, yet his latest run makes him a genuine winning threat. |
8 HARUTO NAKAYAMA |
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| 9 | 00990 |
NANYO LARK
KAZUNORI SAKAI 3YO CHESTNUT FILLY 54.0KG Tokuya Nakamura Returns from a two-month break after finishing last over 800m at Urawa, beaten over 14 lengths by Sara Mischief at long odds, with no late impression. She had also been well back over the same course and distance two runs ago. The move back to 1400m is the possible positive, with two wins from eight at the trip, but recent form says she needs plenty to fall her way. |
9 RETSU OIKAWA |
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| 10 | 56590 |
HEROES
MORIO KAWAMURA 3YO CHESTNUT COLT 56.0KG Returns from a six-week break after finishing second last at Urawa, beaten a long way by Okashi Daisuki Man when unwanted in the market. Two back he was ninth here, beaten over 16 lengths, though he did work home fairly after being never a winning chance. His overall maiden profile and unplaced track-and-distance record make this a difficult assignment. |
10 YOICHIRO MURO |
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| 11 | 53564 |
YELLOW GARDEN
SHINOBU HASEGAWA 3YO CHESTNUT FILLY 54.0KG Worked home fairly when fourth at Kasamatsu last start, beaten nine and a half lengths by Asakusa Diana at big odds. The run prior was also from well back, sixth behind Kasanaru Kiseki and beaten over 14 lengths, albeit with a decent late finish. She has placed three times at 1400m without winning there, which makes her more of a place hope than a firm winning option. |
11 FRANCISCO GONCALVES |
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| 12 | 45807 |
KISARA FLASH
KAZUNORI SAKAI 3YO BROWN FILLY 54.0KG Returns from a six-week break after finishing seventh at Urawa, beaten over 14 lengths by Okashi Daisuki Man at long odds, having settled too far back to make an impression. Her previous run here was also poor, second last and beaten over 17 lengths behind M T Raika. A class drop gives some context, but her recent form leaves her with a lot to prove. |
12 WATARU FUJIE |
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