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Race 3 1200m Track: |
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A solid tempo anticipated with Elles and Happy Day ahead of Nine First and Inazuma Regina. QUINTET HOPE (5) gets the nod in an open 2yo COND over 1200m at Mombetsu. He was big odds when fourth here last start, beaten just over two lengths, and the way he kept working after having many lengths to make up gives him the strongest winning profile if he can be closer at the right time. MEDIUM CELLAR (2) is the immediate danger after a clear last-start lift, running second here and beating both Quintet Hope and Varadero in that recent meeting. The knock is that he was among the outsiders, but the performance reads well for this. VARADERO (6) has been finding the line without winning and was only just behind the top pair last time, though his overall record leaves a little to prove. KASENO EAGLE (10) brings the least exposed profile after a debut second over 1000m, and the rise to 1200m is the key test rather than a reason to dismiss him.
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| 1 | 3 |
INAZUMA REGINA
HIDEKI KAKUGAWA 2YO DK B FILLY 55.0KG Placed on debut at Mombetsu, finishing third behind Vin Flor, but the margin was still beaten over 11 lengths and she started at big odds. She worked home evenly rather than threatening, so the placing needs some context. The rider returns and she can take natural second-up improvement, but she still has to find a sharper turn of foot to trouble the main chances. |
1 MASAAKI KUWAMURA |
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| 2 | 352 |
MEDIUM CELLAR
MASAKAZU MURAKAMI 2YO BAY COLT 56.0KG Lifted clearly at Mombetsu last start when second to A Shin Surya, beaten a length and a half after letting down nicely and holding on fairly. That was a better effort than his fifth to Kikotsu the run prior, when he settled rearward and was beaten seven and a half lengths. He has placed twice from three starts here and beat Quintet Hope and Varadero in that latest clash, so his profile is strong if he repeats it. |
2 TAKAFUMI HATTORI |
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| 3 | 6066 |
HAPPY DAY
HIROTO KAWASHIMA 2YO CHESTNUT COLT 56.0KG Finished sixth behind A Shin Surya here last start, beaten just over four lengths at long odds, and there was no obvious excuse in a safely held run. He had also led before fading into sixth behind Feline Valor two back, so the recent pattern is only fair. The class drop and race fitness help, and he can race forward, but his unplaced record at 1200m keeps him more in the minor-money mix. |
3 YUKI MIYAUCHI |
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| 4 | 250 |
SANYO CAPTAIN
KAZUHISA YAMADA 2YO BAY COLT 56.0KG Was near the top of betting when tenth to Naranga here last start, beaten eight and a half lengths after getting too far back and finishing off without ever looking likely. His previous fifth behind Cream Pan was also beaten eight and a half lengths, albeit from big odds. The class drop gives him some assistance, but he needs to settle closer or finish with far more purpose. |
4 SHINYA MATSUI |
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| 5 | 76264 |
QUINTET HOPE
MASAHIRO SAITO 2YO CHESTNUT COLT 55.0KG Made good late ground at Mombetsu last start when fourth to A Shin Surya, beaten just over two lengths at big odds after having many lengths to make up. That was a stronger run than his even sixth behind Jackson Voice two back. Medium Cellar had his measure latest, but he finished ahead of Varadero and has placed at this track and distance. The distance query remains, yet this sets up as his chance to break through. |
5 RYOGA FUJITA |
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| 6 | 67255 |
VARADERO
KUNIAKI SASAKI 2YO GREY COLT 56.0KG Has produced two similar closing efforts at Mombetsu, most recently fifth to A Shin Surya when beaten just over two lengths after having plenty to do. He was also fifth behind Jackson Voice two back, beaten just under five lengths, and that run reads as honest rather than decisive. He has a narrow recent win over Quintet Hope in the form, but remains winless from seven starts, so the case is solid rather than watertight. |
6 SHOMA KANAYAMA |
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| 7 | 6 |
CAMANCHACA
JUNJI TANAKA 2YO DK B COLT 56.0KG Was well found in betting on debut over 1000m at Mombetsu but finished sixth behind Charter, beaten over 11 lengths after racing prominently and failing to come into the race. That makes the rise to 1200m a genuine question rather than an automatic plus. The stable and rider profile command respect, but he must show a much stronger finish second-up. |
7 GENTA OCHIAI |
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| 8 | 59426 |
NINE FIRST
YOSHIMI YANAGIZAWA 2YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Disappointed as a well-supported favourite at Mombetsu last start, finishing sixth to Naranga and beaten seven and a half lengths. Her previous run was better, second to New Harpy by a length and a half after looming and fighting on, so there is enough form to keep her under notice. She has placed at this track and distance, but needs to bounce back before being rated a winning threat. |
8 MANATO KUROSAWA |
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| 9 | 98777 |
THROUGH THE RAIN
KUNIAKI SASAKI 2YO CHESTNUT FILLY 55.0KG Recent form is difficult to recommend, with a seventh to Davay Crystal over 1000m here last start when beaten over 16 lengths and unwanted in the market. She was also seventh behind Head Scissors two back, beaten over 11 lengths after conceding a big start. The step to 1200m adds another query, and she needs a sizeable lift to get competitive. |
9 YOJI KAMEI |
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| 10 | 2 |
KASENO EAGLE
HIDEKI KAKUGAWA 2YO CHESTNUT COLT 56.0KG Debuted with a sound second over 1000m at Mombetsu, beaten three lengths by Gwaenchanhayo in a small field after travelling well before the turn. That gives him a base to build from, though this 1200m assignment asks a new question. He is lightly raced and comes through a leading stable-rider combination, so he has enough upside to be a genuine place hope. |
10 YAMATO ISHIKAWA |
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| 11 | 6 |
ELLES
KUNIO HIMORI 2YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Led on debut over 1000m at Mombetsu but was swamped late and finished last behind Gwaenchanhayo, beaten over 13 lengths despite being near the top of betting. That performance leaves her with plenty to prove, especially rising to 1200m from a wide barrier. She may have early speed, but she needs to sustain it much better to be a factor. |
11 FUMA ONO |
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