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Race 11 1800m Track: |
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Good tempo with several going forward, primarily Nefer Asti, Bellagio Phantom and Picasso Jasper. VIP JOIE (8) gets the nod after producing the clearest last-start statement, putting seven lengths on Peptide Plata over 1500m at Nagoya. She does rise to 1800m and carries 55kg after 52kg there, but that win gives her strong claims if she repeats it. BELLAGIO PHANTOM (9) is the obvious danger, having beaten Picasso Jasper by five lengths over 1580m at Kasamatsu as a short odds-on favourite, and his track and jockey records read very well. PICASSO JASPER (4) arrives off a win here and has never missed a placing at Kasamatsu, though the 1800m rise is the fresh test after that earlier defeat to Bellagio Phantom. NEFER ASTI (6) was below market expectations at Nagoya last start but her overall record and strong Kasamatsu numbers keep her in the conversation, provided she sees out the longer trip.
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| 1 | 01115 |
ARISTOCRAT
HIROSHI SASANO 3YO DK B FILLY 55.0KG Thoroughbred Club Ruffian Co. Ltd. Was disappointing as the short odds-on favourite at Kasamatsu last start, finishing fifth over 1400m and beaten four lengths behind Picasso Jasper after being only fair to the line. Her win here the start prior was much sharper, beating African Black by two lengths after being heavily supported. Three wins from four at the track is a strong base, but the 1800m record keeps her more a place hope than a confident win play. |
1 SOICHI KATO |
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| 2 | 41767 |
VERMEIL DOLL
MASAYOSHI GOTO 3YO CHESTNUT FILLY 55.0KG Recent form leaves her with a sizeable task despite some back-class positives. She was seventh at Kasamatsu last start, beaten six and a half lengths by Picasso Jasper after conceding too much ground, and had been beaten eight and a half lengths by Bellagio Phantom over 1580m before that. A past track-and-trip win helps, but she needs to turn around form with several stronger rivals. |
2 MIKIO FUJIWARA |
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| 3 | 1534x |
TAGANO AIZEN
FUJIGASAKI KAZUHITO 3YO DK B COLT 57.0KG Ryoji Yagi Returns after three months away from racing and resumes at Kasamatsu for the first time. His fourth at Kanazawa over 1500m last start had some late merit, but he was still beaten over 10 lengths by Gokokuhojo. The previous Nagoya run came over 2100m and does not provide a clean push for this. The jockey record is a positive, yet his 1800m statistics leave him needing a clear lift. |
3 TATSUYA WATANABE |
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| 4 | 21121 |
PICASSO JASPER
MASAYOSHI GOTO 3YO DK B FILLY 55.0KG Kazuma Ono Continued a very reliable Kasamatsu campaign when winning over 1400m last start, holding Seika Yuhi by just under a length after being near the top of an open market. She had earlier chased Bellagio Phantom home over 1580m, beaten five lengths, so that matchup remains a genuine reference point. Four wins and three places from seven starts here keeps her prominent, although 1800m is the main question. |
4 HOSOKAWA SATOSHI |
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| 5 | 3271x |
LOVELY BONITA
TAKASHI SHIBATA 3YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Returns from a six-month break after winning at Kasamatsu in April, when she finished powerfully to beat Bellagio Jupiter by a length. That was a clear improvement on her previous seventh here over 1400m, where she was beaten nine and a half lengths and unwanted in the market. Her local placing record is respectable, but resuming against fitter, stronger profiles makes this a stern test. |
5 SHIN HIGASHIKAWA |
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| 6 | 01126 |
NEFER ASTI
HIROYUKI IMAZU 3YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Yukihiro Yokoyama Failed to finish off as favourite in a 3yo+ B3 at Nagoya last start, running sixth over 920m and beaten four and a half lengths by Aster Ruthenium. Her previous 3yo+ C1 second over 1400m was sound, leading before being run down late by Hiogi. Five wins from 20 starts and three wins from five at Kasamatsu give her substance, but the first try at 1800m has to be respected. |
6 KATSUTO MARUNO |
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| 7 | 4x933 |
FIRST BOY
Uto Hideki 3YO BAY COLT 57.0KG Worked home well for third at Nagoya last start, beaten a length and a half by Sante Orange as an outside chance in betting. That followed another third over 2000m, although he was beaten six and a half lengths and never seriously threatened Handful. His career record is honest and the rider partnership has worked, but he still needs a sharper winning edge in this company. |
7 JUNKI MOCHIZUKI |
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| 8 | 00501 |
VIP JOIE
ENOKIYA MITSURU 3YO BAY FILLY 55.0KG Kunihide Suzuki Returns after five weeks having produced a decisive Nagoya win over 1500m, beating Peptide Plata by seven lengths after quickening away with plenty in hand. That was a sharp turnaround from her 3yo Maiden tenth at Sapporo, where she was beaten eight and a half lengths at long odds. She rises to 1800m and carries 55kg after 52kg last time, but the latest figure is strong enough to make her the one they must beat. |
8 KONDO HAYATO |
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| 9 | x1161 |
BELLAGIO PHANTOM
YUYA GOTO 3YO DK B COLT 57.0KG Returns after six weeks following a dominant Kasamatsu win over 1580m, beating Picasso Jasper by five lengths as a short odds-on favourite. That display was a clear rebound from his previous sixth here over 1400m, when he was big odds and never a winning factor despite making late ground. Four wins from six at the track and an unbeaten rider record are strong positives, with 1800m the key new test. |
9 SEIGO TSUKAMOTO |
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| 10 | 41x1x |
REVERSAL TOP
T TAGUCHI 3YO CHESTNUT COLT 58.0KG Returns after three months off successive Nagoya wins, the latest by four lengths over Meiner Montus when sent out favourite and winning softly. He had also scored over 2000m two runs back, beating Astra Bianco by a length and a half despite being unwanted in the market. Four wins and six places from 13 starts is a solid record, and he has enough quality to run well fresh without being the clear top pick. |
10 TSUTSUI YUSUKE |
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