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RYAN BRADLEY BAYLEYS COMMERCIAL 2200m Track: SOFT 5 Out 4.5m |
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Shamwari should lead and dictate terms. MUSTANG MORGAN (3) failed to fire in a stronger field over 2100m at Trentham nearly 5 weeks ago. His form prior to that recent run was heading in the right direction, and he can bounce back and win this. JACK CRABB (1) produced a strong performance to score by nearly a length over this course and distance last start. He won't find this much harder, and he can repeat the dose. LIQUID FIRE (2) showed early speed when resuming over 1600m at this track, but peaked on his run late to finish well back. He strips fitter, and if he doesn't need this run as well, he can figure in the top 3. VISTOWN (7) was not bad last time out over 2000m at Matamata 6 days ago. She ran her best race this prep in a similar race 3 starts back, and this race suits her racing style. Stick with her. BLACKWATERFOOT (5) has been mixing her form, and even though she has found it hard to win another race, she is capable of figuring in the top 4 in a field like this. SUGGESTED PLAY: Mustang Morgan can win this, and Vistown is ready to show some form again.
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| 1 | 75561 |
JACK CRABB
SHAUN & EMMA CLOTWORTHY 5YO BAY GELDING 59.0KG NZ THOROUGHBRED HOLDINGS LTD Most recently favourite; ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track February 11 over 2200m on a soft track defeating Intoxicated carrying 57kg at $3.90. The run before that eased back early on 6th of 12 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 2100m, slow going 1.5 len behind Fastdeeldun carrying 58kg at $6.70. Sure to be right there at the business end. |
4 SAM MCNAB |
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| 2 | 847x0 |
LIQUID FIRE
RALPH MANNING 6YO BAY GELDING 59.0KG HIGH OCTANE THOROUGHBREDS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP, MISS S L HARRIS, MRS A K, R J R & R R MANNING, T MCGREGOR, M WILSON, J SMITH, T FIDOW, H GALE & M MACDONALD Second run back. First-up after three months raced on the pace before fading 10th of 13 at this track on February 11 over 1600m, slow going 7 len behind Greenwich with 58kg at $23.80. Previously second-up eased back early on 8th of 10 at Ellerslie on October 25 over 2200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Novak with 56.5kg at $7.20. Can do much better this time with the run under his belt. |
3 M MCNAB |
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| 3 | x6320 |
MUSTANG MORGAN
ANDREW FORSMAN 4YO BAY GELDING 59.0KG T ALLAN, K & R EDWARDS, J GREGORY, C HART, LITTLE RIVER THOROUGHBREDS PARTNERSHIP, N ROBBIE, S ROLTON, M W SCOTT, J D SMITH, A J & B M SPEEDY, W E STEMP, R W THOMAS, D TURNER, D P WALSH, R WILKINSON, S N WILLIAMS & C WINTERBURN Comes here off a 34-day let-up. At the latest run ran last of 12 at Trentham on January 31 over 2100m, slow going 9 len behind Walkinthepark with 60kg at $4.40. The run before that came from midfield; 2nd of 9 at Taupo on December 28 over 2000m, on a slow track; head behind Top Dollar carrying 60kg at $2.50. Better placed and expected to be in the finish. |
2 WARREN KENNEDY |
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| 4 | 10549 |
SHAMWARI
MARK FORBES 4YO BAY GELDING 57.0KG KILTANNON STABLES LTD Most recently raced on the pace before fading 9th of 12 at Taupo on February 22 over 1800m, 4 len behind Crown Princess carrying 58kg at $19.50. The run before that 4th of 12 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 2100m, slow going 1.0 len behind Fastdeeldun with 58.5kg at $14.90. Looks safely held. |
6 RYAN ELLIOT |
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| 5 | 3f020 |
BLACKWATERFOOT
SHAUNE RITCHIE & COLM MURRAY 5YO BROWN MARE 56.0KG M S DALZELL, S F RITCHIE, T R DALZELL, L S DALZELL, A L DALZELL, S H DALZELL, A J C DALZELL & S K STEVENSON Returns from a 59-day let-up. Most recently didn't do much in the run home; ran last of 10 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 2100m, on a slow track; 18 len behind The Trendsetter with 56.5kg at $6.20. The run before that 2nd of 8 at Ruakaka on December 17 over 2100m, on a slow track; nose behind No Plan Be carrying 55.5kg at $5.10. Rates well in this line up and worth including. |
5 JOE DOYLE |
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| 6 | 10933 |
BARCELONA
MARGARET FALCONER 6YO BAY MARE 56.0KG M J SYNNOTT, N L WITHERS MNZM, G MILES & ELLESMERE THOROUGHBREDS Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 34-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 2100m, slow going 0.6 len behind Fastdeeldun carrying 56kg at $44.40. The race before that second last in a small field at this track on January 3 over 1600m, in the wet; 7 len behind Ascension carrying 53.5kg at $8.80. Can feature in the finish. |
7 CORENTIN BERGE |
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| 7 | 06248 |
VISTOWN
JOHN BELL 7YO BAY MARE 55.0KG F A BLACKBURN, P MCINTYRE, R.W.D. SYNDICATE, B A REYES, D B, G M, L J & M SHEPPARD Last start 8th of 14 at Matamata on February 28 over 2000m, slow going 2.75 len behind Apex with 55.5kg at $13. The start before that 4th of 12 at this track on February 11 over 2200m, slow going 1.5 len behind Jack Crabb carrying 58kg at $16.20. Will be hard to beat. |
1 M CAMERON |
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