DUNSTAN HORSEFEEDS 1200m Track: HEAVY 10 Out 12m |
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Leroy Brown and Spencer can be prominent. TWAIN (3) has looked well above average in both of his starts since resuming from a spell, including an easy win here 8 weeks ago. He has to carry an extra 3kg now, but is on target to complete the hat-trick of wins. FORCE OF NATURE (7) is another very progressive gelding who won here fresh up by well over a length over 1300m. He only has to carry half a kilo more and has yet to taste defeat in 5 starts on this course. He will make it very interesting with the top pick. CAITLYNS WISH (4) was challenged in front at Otaki last start but showed a lot of grit to finish third that day, and she is likely to get an uncontested lead here. Stick with her. Each way value. SPENCER (1) led up and fought on bravely to finish sixth in the Opunake Cup. Dropping back from 1400m to 1200m will help, and he can bounce back into the top 3 here. MIDNIGHT SCANDAL (5) has been freshened up since finishing third as favourite in the Tauranga Classic 7 weeks ago. Watch for her late. SUGGESTED PLAY: A match race between Twain and Force Of Nature.
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1 | 0x196 |
SPENCER
ERIN HOCQUARD 6YO BAY GELDING 62.0KG A D & K J SCHUMACHER Most recently led to the turn then faded 6th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway in the LR Opunake Cup on July 19 over 1400m, on a wet track; 2.5 len behind Joshua Brown with 58.5kg at $5.80. The race before that struggled in the run home; 9th of 12 at Ellerslie on June 7 over 1400m, slow going 6 len behind Midnight Scandal with 59kg at $11.10. Better than recent form suggests and worth including. |
3 SIENNA BROWN |
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2 | 1231x |
MARK TWAIN
ROGER JAMES & ROBERT WELLWOOD 6YO BAY GELDING 61.0KG OTI MANAGEMENT PTY LTD Resuming after 16 months in the paddock. Finished off last preparation by 0.5 len Flemington LR Roy Higgins March 30 2024 over 2600m defeating Strawberry Rock with 55kg at $9.50. First up last campaign fourth of 13 at Otaki Rating 75 November 30 2023 over 1400m, soft track; 1.5 len behind Sugah Sweet carrying 59kg at $15. Expecting a strong run fresh. |
4 JACK TAPLIN |
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3 | 14x11 |
TWAIN
JOHN BELL 5YO BROWN GELDING 58.0KG E MARTIN Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Not raced for 56 days. First-up won by 1.3 len at Te Aroha June 2 over 1150m in the wet defeating Kaimai Queen carrying 57kg at $1.20. Last start won by 1.75 len at this track June 14 over 1200m on a heavy track defeating Gospodin with 55kg at $1.30. Well placed. Nicely placed and expected to go well. |
5 V A COLGAN |
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4 | 85413 |
CAITLYNS WISH
STEPHEN AUTRIDGE 6YO CHESTNUT MARE 56.0KG L M AUTRIDGE, S R AUTRIDGE, R AUTRIDGE, M R AUTRIDGE, K J KIEEBER, M W SMITH, J K SMITH, K SMITH, K J WELLS & D WELLS Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 7 at Otaki on July 26 over 1100m, on a wet track; 0.6 len behind Reign It In carrying 55kg at $5.70. The race before that won by 0.5 len at this track July 5 over 1200m in heavy going defeating Dusty Road with 52.5kg at $7.50. Current form hard to go past. |
6 MARIA SANSON |
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5 | 0x213 |
MIDNIGHT SCANDAL
SIMON & KATRINA ALEXANDER 6YO BAY MARE 54.0KG ASTON RACING LTD, JUSTIN WYBORN, SCOTT GRAY & CAMERON WILSON Form hard to fault. Comes off a 49 day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 9 at Tauranga in the LR Tauranga Classic on June 21 over 1400m, in the wet; 3.5 len behind Cork carrying 57kg at $3.20. The run before that favourite; won by 1.0 len at Ellerslie June 7 over 1400m on a rain affected track defeating Grande Gallo with 54kg at $12.30. Has a good strike rate and is a solid top-three chance. |
8 M CAMERON |
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6 | 6x45x |
ROCABABY
GRAHAM RICHARDSON & ROGAN NORVALL 6YO BAY MARE 54.0KG EXPLOSIVE BREEDING LTD Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three months. Finished off last campaign fifth of 14 at Arawa Park in the G3 Rotorua Stakes May 10 over 1400m, in the wet; 4.5 len behind Tomodachi with 57kg at $25.90. Previously first up; fourth of 8 at Ellerslie April 19 over 1200m, soft track; 2.75 len behind Sterling Express with 57kg at $10.70. Has claims if presented on song. |
7 JASMINE FAWCETT |
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7 | x11x1 |
FORCE OF NATURE
ANDREW FORSMAN 5YO BROWN GELDING 54.0KG T V RIDER Second run back. First-up after three months favourite; ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at this track July 26 over 1300m in heavy going defeating Malborough Bay with 54kg at $3.70. Previously second-up favourite; won by 0.5 len at this track May 3 over 1200m on a heavy track defeating Shoes with 53kg at $3.20. Has the right credentials and is expected to go well again. |
2 M MCNAB |
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8 | 1518x |
LEROY BROWN
STEPHEN RALPH 5YO BROWN GELDING 54.0KG PARSONS BLOODSTOCK LTD Resumes after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation eighth of 13 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy March 15 over 1600m, soft track; 6 len behind Waitak with 55kg at $5.10. First up last campaign third of 12 at Arawa Park October 13 over 1400m, soft track; 4 len behind Niagara Sky with 57kg at $3.90. Capable of a bold showing. |
1 GARETH LAHOUD |
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9 | 60213 |
KAIMAI QUEEN
GLEN OLD 8YO BAY MARE 54.0KG PEAK RACING Dual acceptor. Racing well recently. Most recently ran on strongly from last on the turn; 3rd of 8 at Ruakaka on July 12 over 1400m, in the wet; 2 len behind Reward Smile carrying 53kg at $11.40. The race before that won by 1.75 len at Te Aroha June 22 over 1150m in the wet defeating Inca Belle carrying 56.5kg at $8.10. Major player. |
7 |
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