| NUM |
TIME |
COMMENT |
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1
|
02:50
|
Race 1 1700m
FULL OF POPS (12) brings the most dependable recent form into this 1700m contest, with seconds at his past two Mombetsu runs and a strong track-and-distance profile for a maiden. He also had the measure of Starry Laura and Ekahi Lio here a couple of weeks ago, which gives his case clear substance. EKAHI LIO (3) appeals as the main danger after a fourth behind Reviendra and a third to Black Tycoon, with that earlier placing showing she is close enough if the 1700m suits. STARRY LAURA (8) has been steady rather than brilliant, finishing fourth at her past two, but her consistency keeps her in the winning mix. RYUNO PIRATES (9) must rebound from a last-start failure, yet the head second to Oryza Recolte two runs back is good enough to make him a genuine threat if repeated. |
|
2
|
03:20
|
Race 2 1000m
YAMANIN RISETTE (9) sets the standard in a race where exposed 1000m form matters. She was beaten half a length by Lady Coco here last start after being near the top of betting, and her earlier fourth behind Roman Leap gives the profile some depth for this grade. FLAME FLORA (6) is the main danger on consistency, with consecutive fourths here and a better run two back when beaten two and a half lengths by Handclap. RIKO STAAKEN (5) improved sharply at big odds when third behind Lady Coco, though she must now confirm that lift and turn the tables on Yamanin Risette. IRIS BABY (7) has placed three times from five attempts at this track and distance, but the latest fifth as a well-supported runner leaves her needing to rebound to threaten the top pair. |
|
3
|
03:55
|
Race 3 1100m
BELLAGIO PASSION (7) sets the standard despite resuming from a three-month break. He has placed in all three starts at Mombetsu, including a third behind Star Of Vase when near the top of betting, and his two placings from two tries at the distance read well for this 2yo COND. COLOR WHEEL (1) is the main danger if he rebounds from a plain fifth behind A Shin Bliss, where he was beaten over 11 lengths without a clear excuse. His prior second to Bellagio Palooza was much better and he has placed twice from four starts here at the trip. LA VIE ART (2) needs to lift off a moderate sixth behind Alphonsina, but her third to Livermore Zan two back keeps her in the mix. OKANO MEMORY (4) was disappointing last start, yet her previous second behind A Shin Bliss, when she finished ahead of Color Wheel, gives her a genuine place-and-upset profile. |
|
4
|
04:25
|
Race 4 1000m
TEN ARION (1) sets the benchmark after consecutive seconds at Mombetsu, beaten half a length then just under a length, and her established 1000m record here gives her the most reliable profile despite again needing to convert favouritism into a win. SEKITEI VIVI (5) is the main danger, having led and been pipped by Max Isle last start after a third behind Queen's Viola, and the Genta Ochiai-Hiroyuki Oguni combination adds further strength to her case. OHAMACHAN (12) brings a different form shape, charging home for third behind Max Isle and staying on 52kg, although her maiden record keeps a small query on the winning edge. RIPE TRAUM (4) has been finishing from too far back, but his last two fifths both had merit through the line, making him a sound place and exotics chance rather than the most likely winner. |
|
5
|
04:55
|
Race 5 1000m
VALORINA (4) gets the nod in a race made up of debutants, chiefly because her profile balances a workable barrier, a strong rider booking and a family that has thrown multiple winners. Yamato Ishikawa's Mombetsu record is a genuine asset and she looks the most rounded of the newcomers. RYUNO ASHURA (1) is the danger from barrier 1, with a debut-winning half-sibling in Rikohime and other relatives who have gone on to win multiple races; the query is Masato Kawashima's quiet debut record. NANDE DERMA (5) is built more around stable strength, with Hiroto Kawashima's first-starter figures the best single yard pointer among the main hopes. LUMISPERITE (6) is also firmly in the mix through the Hideki Kakugawa-Masaaki Kuwamura combination and a South Surprise family with proven 1000m dirt winners. The top pair look the strongest winning profiles, with Nande Derma and Lumisperite capable of pressing them if their stable patterns hold up. |
|
6
|
05:30
|
Race 6 1200m
KITANO SIRIUS (10) sets the standard after resuming with a clear three-length win over 1200m at Mombetsu in 3yo+ C4 grade, beating King's Message after being prominent in betting. The query is that he is still lightly raced, but the improvement from his Hanshin Dirt debut was substantial. WAR CAT (2) is the proven alternative, having gone under by a nose to Peptide Avance here last start and boasting two wins and four places from eight starts at this track and distance. MARINO STIR HEART (3) was two lengths behind the same winner when third, after beating Super Party by a nose the run prior, so the recent Mombetsu form ties in neatly. LA VILLETTE (4) is next best after closing strongly for fourth in a 3yo COND and winning his previous 1200m run, though he profiles more as a contender needing another small step than the top pick. |
|
7
|
06:00
|
Race 7 1200m
STEEL AMBER (4) sets the form standard after winning a 3yo+ C4 at Mombetsu over 1000m, beating Wright Flyer by half a length after being prominent in the market. The rise to 1200m is the main reservation, but his seven-start record of two wins and five placings gives him a solid base. QUEEN'S MONAKA (5) is the clear danger, having missed by a neck as favourite last start after going down by a nose the run prior; her Mombetsu 1200m record reads strongly without being prolific. FAWKES UP (8) has the right recent shape, winning two back then closing off for fifth behind Peptide Avance, and looks the value danger if he converts that finish sooner. UNICORN WHALE (9) is much harder to trust after two poor 1800m runs, but the class drop and three placings from twelve attempts at this track and distance keep him in the wider winning discussion if he rebounds sharply. |
|
8
|
06:35
|
Race 8 1000m
GOOD TIME ASK (12) sets the standard after winning a 3yo+ C4 over this course and distance by a nose as a well-supported favourite, and the light weight keeps her right in the race despite the wide draw. HOPEFUL SONG (3) brings the neatest recent profile, having won a 3yo+ C4 by two lengths before running third behind Fingal's Cave, and she has already finished ahead of Nishino Endeavor in the latest Mombetsu clash. NISHINO ENDEAVOR (7) is the proven danger: he won by a head two runs back, has strong 12-month form, and previously beat Good Time Ask, though he must turn the tables on Hopeful Song from a fortnight ago. YOMPUKU (8) is the value runner among the selections, with five wins at this track and distance and two sound fourths this campaign, but he looks more dependent on converting another honest run into a sharper winning effort. |
|
9
|
07:10
|
Race 9 1000m
OISHI SAKURA (10) is the top pick despite needing to sharpen off a sixth to Tiffany Sienne, as she was still afforded some market respect and had been near the top of an open market the run prior. The wide draw is no gift, but she brings the right overall profile for this C4 at Mombetsu. KITANO ROSE (12) is the obvious danger: her latest sixth was plain, yet the half-length second to Sakura Piacere two back is one of the stronger recent pieces of form in the race. SCHON NOVA (7) has the head-to-head edge on Oishi Sakura from a couple of weeks ago and owns a useful track-and-trip base, although her latest margins keep her just behind the top pair. REVE LUBA (5) is the value minor hope after a much better third here last time, but she remains a maiden and still has to prove she can turn that improvement into a winning result. |
|
10
|
07:40
|
Race 10 1200m
NISHINO RAMPAGE (6) sets the standard among the selected chances after resuming with a third at Kanazawa over 1500m, beaten four lengths by Sunrise Rema in 3yo COND grade. He is still a maiden and comes back to 1200m, but that latest effort is the most reliable positive reference in this field. TORUK MAKTO (11) is the immediate threat after being sent out a well-supported favourite at Mombetsu last start and finishing fourth, beaten two and a half lengths by Boules De Neige. She has to convert that market confidence now. WILD KAGURA (1) is difficult to assess on recent margins after being beaten out of sight at Sapporo Dirt, yet the class drop and inside draw keep her in the winning mix if she can leave that form behind. NICHIYAO TSUIDE (9) resumes with plain maiden form, but this is a softer C4 assignment and she has place claims if the fresh start brings improvement. |
|
11
|
08:15
|
Race 11 1700m
S'IL TE PLAIT (7) sets the standard in a compact A1 contest, having finished second to Soldier Field here last start and holding a perfect top-three record from five runs at this track and distance. He was beaten as a well-fancied runner at his past two, so the winning edge is the only caveat, but the overall profile is strong. BRAVE AMORE (1) is the clear threat after another placing behind Soldier Field and has traded results with S'Il Te Plait recently, though his record here over 1700m is more about consistency than winning. D S YELL (4) brings genuine track-and-trip credentials and was runner-up to Nishiken Bob last time, making him a solid place chance. SITHEP (3) resumes with an excellent overall record and useful weight relief, but must rebound from a heavy Ohi defeat before he can be treated as the main danger. |
|
12
|
08:50
|
Race 12 1800m
BELL PIT (7) sets the standard on exposed achievement, having won four from four this season and returned a dominant six-length Mombetsu win over 1600m before this break. His broader record is outstanding, including eight wins and three places from eleven starts at the track and distance, so he is the one to beat if he resumes in the same order. SOLDIER FIELD (2) brings the sharpest recent winning form, having taken consecutive 3yo+ A1 races here by a length and a half and he has an excellent association with Genta Ochiai. KEIAI PURPLE (3) was beaten half a length by Nishiken Bob as a heavily backed favourite last start, but his 1800m record at Mombetsu and weight relief keep him firmly in the race. YAMANIN STELLATA (6) is the value among the main hopes after a 2600m second to Keiai Purple, though the drop back in trip is the clear reservation. |
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