| NUM |
TIME |
COMMENT |
|
1
|
10:55
|
Race 1 800m
BELLAGIO HOME RUN (2) clearly brings the strongest recent profile, having placed in two of three starts at Kasamatsu and going closest when second to Nine Symphony over 1400m, beaten a length and a half, after being prominent in the betting. The drop to 800m is the one point to prove, but her consistency gives her the race's most reliable base. EL DJEM (4) is harder to read: her debut third behind Peace Blossom was good enough for this, and she has placed once from one start at the distance, but the latest run was a heavy defeat after conceding far too much ground. SHIBA FUJI (1) comes through the same Nine Symphony race as Bellagio Home Run and did grind into third, though the seven-and-a-half-length margin keeps him more in the place mix. FEUZ (6) has a small case on his fourth to Kick Out two back, but the tailed-off latest effort means he needs a sharp rebound to win. |
|
2
|
11:25
|
Race 2 1400m
ASAKUSA DIANA (1) brings the most reliable Kasamatsu profile, having won here by two and a half lengths last start after sitting near the top of betting, and her record of two wins and one place from three starts at the track reads strongly for this. YAMANIN ELPHABA (4) is the clear danger after being beaten a nose here when heavily backed into very short odds-on territory, with her prior 3yo Maiden run at Chukyo Dirt also sound enough to respect. EVANS BAY (2) resumes after a four-month break and has the Chukyo placing over 1600m in the book, though the Tokyo failure leaves a query. TOSEN SIGIRIYA (7) won here last time at double-figure odds and owns a good track-and-distance record, but he has to prove that latest effort was no one-off. |
|
3
|
12:00
|
Race 3 1400m
MIZUNO MIYAKO (7) brings the most intriguing profile, dropping back from a 3yo+ ALLOW at Niigata where she was ninth, beaten six and a half lengths, after a solid Morioka second over 1700m. The two-month gap and return to 1400m are the queries, but this looks a more suitable assignment. REAL KENCHAN (6) is the proven Kasamatsu runner, coming off consecutive wins here, including a nose success from Yamanin Elphaba, and his track-and-distance record gives him a very reliable base. PENTHOUSE (2) was beaten six lengths as favourite last start but has two wins and one place from five starts at this track and distance, so he remains a genuine place-to-winning hope if sharper. KASANARU KISEKI (3) must rebound from a 21-length defeat, yet her earlier track form and winning rider angle keep her in the mix for the minors. |
|
4
|
12:35
|
Race 4 1400m
ALL MY TIME (7) sets the standard after a sound third at Kasamatsu, beaten just over a length, and that followed a 3yo+ C6 win over 1580m when she was too strong late for A Shin Azalea. She is not a prolific winner, but the recent pattern is the most reliable in this field. ROBUST WARRIOR (2) appeals as the main danger after making late ground for fifth behind Cosmo Finesse, and her Kasamatsu 1400m record gives her a genuine winning platform. REAL KAISER (3) has the placing profile to be competitive, especially with Tsutsui Yusuke having placed on him three times from four rides, though the win column remains the obvious concern. MARIENPLATZ (4) improved into fourth behind Wornitz and has two wins at the track and distance, so she is a realistic danger if she builds again. |
|
5
|
01:10
|
Race 5 1400m
SALUD POR TI (4) earns top billing after two narrow seconds this campaign, most recently beaten a length and a half as favourite by Iks Clover. Her current-season record reads well and she has already shown she handles this Kasamatsu 1400m. MARGOT MENES (1) looks the main threat after improving sharply into second over 1580m, and the return to 1400m is supported by past track-and-distance success, though his overall winning strike rate keeps him from being a clear standout. PEP TALK (5) brings the strongest recent winning reference, having beaten Unsung Heroine over 1580m two starts back before a plain fifth in 3yo+ B5 company. A repeat of that winning turn of foot puts her right in this. HIRUNO SEVILLA (6) is a solid place-and-value danger, with consecutive placings and an excellent Kasamatsu 1400m record, but she must turn recent consistency into a sharper winning finish. |
|
6
|
01:45
|
Race 6 1400m
EMBRACEMENT (9) holds the narrow call after resuming with a sound second in 3yo+ B4 company at Kasamatsu, beaten four lengths by Inti Pyro, and her broader season record gives the profile real substance. COSMO FINESSE (1) is the immediate danger, arriving off a two-length 3yo+ C1 win over 1580m here and bringing proven track-and-distance credentials back to 1400m. CONVEX (8) has to be assessed on more than her last-start B1 failure, as she had won three straight before that and beat Plumes De L'Ange two runs back. HIRUNO GALICIA (7) is the value-type inclusion among the main hopes: his latest sixth in 3yo+ B1 company was only fair, but the prior head win over 1580m at Kasamatsu and an excellent record at this track and distance keep him in the argument. The race looks centred on those four, with Embracement bringing the most reliable recent-season profile and Cosmo Finesse the sharper last-start winning form. |
|
7
|
02:15
|
Race 7 1580m
ZIEGFELD (1) brings the cleanest recent form into this B6, having closed strongly for third behind Bijin Hakumei at Kasamatsu after another sound fourth behind Cosmo Memorable. He has reliable track figures and looks the runner with the fewest knocks, although the distance remains the one point to prove. NOAH BLACK (2) is the main rebound candidate: his latest last placing was poor, but the start prior he won a 3yo+ COND here by a length and a half and he is already a track-and-trip winner. SEUL ET PATRIOTE (4) is harder to read after being beaten over 11 lengths last time, yet his second to L'Ecrin Sourire two runs back keeps him in the contest with weight relief. UNSUNG HEROINE (3) is next best for multiples, with a close second two back and two placings from three attempts at this track and distance, but she must improve sharply on her latest fourth. |
|
8
|
02:55
|
Race 8 1400m
RYUSEI KOTEI (4) is the horse to beat despite a plain sixth at Kasamatsu last start, as he is third-up now and backed by the strongest stable and rider profile in the race. The maiden record is the obvious reservation, but this looks a suitable chance to improve. OGARU (3) brings the better overall record, with two wins and seven placings from 15 starts, and his Mombetsu form over 1000m reads better than the latest margin suggests. The rise to 1400m is the key test. TSUKINO KOBUNE (5) has stronger Kasamatsu 1400m credentials than most, including a win and three placings from seven attempts, and he has already finished ahead of Ryusei Kotei recently. HYPER CALL (6) is another proven track-and-trip runner and comes through a last-start placing, though he still needs to find more than he showed when beaten over 11 lengths. |
|
9
|
03:25
|
Race 9 1400m
HIOGI (8) brings the most reliable winning profile, having gone down by only a neck as favourite in a 3yo+ B5 at Nagoya after winning a 3yo+ C1 there by two lengths. She has a prior Kasamatsu win, useful distance figures and a strong record with Aoi Kinomae, so she is the horse to beat despite another distance query sitting in the background. SATSUKI BALLADE (5) appeals as the main danger after finishing only a length and a half away in a stronger 3yo+ B1 here, with a Kasamatsu 3yo+ B6 win two back adding substance. SPECIALIGHT (2) was costly as a short odds-on favourite last start but has consecutive placings and enough consistency to make amends. CRAZY RICH (9) is more of a place-leaning threat: his head second two back reads well, but the latest fourth was plain and the win strike-rate remains the concern. |
|
10
|
04:05
|
Race 10 1580m
SERVAL MIND (8) sets the standard on recent evidence after successive Kasamatsu wins, the latest by seven lengths at very short odds, and his record at the track and trip gives that form a solid base. SEIKA YUHI (3) is the main danger if he repeats his latest effort, having finished second here over 1400m when beaten just under a length after picking up strongly; the rise in distance is the one point he still has to answer. GRAND CHAMP (4) brings less attractive recent figures, but his Chukyo 3yo Maiden runs read differently back in this company and he is now third-up. KEN BRIDGE LOS (1) is honest, race fit and regularly around the placings, with three track-and-distance placings from five attempts. She looks a reliable minor-money chance, though she must find more dash to turn recent thirds into a win. |
|
11
|
04:40
|
Race 11 1800m
VIP JOIE (8) gets the nod after producing the clearest last-start statement, putting seven lengths on Peptide Plata over 1500m at Nagoya. She does rise to 1800m and carries 55kg after 52kg there, but that win gives her strong claims if she repeats it. BELLAGIO PHANTOM (9) is the obvious danger, having beaten Picasso Jasper by five lengths over 1580m at Kasamatsu as a short odds-on favourite, and his track and jockey records read very well. PICASSO JASPER (4) arrives off a win here and has never missed a placing at Kasamatsu, though the 1800m rise is the fresh test after that earlier defeat to Bellagio Phantom. NEFER ASTI (6) was below market expectations at Nagoya last start but her overall record and strong Kasamatsu numbers keep her in the conversation, provided she sees out the longer trip. |
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