Pirate is the likely leader at a strong tempo. PIRATE (2) clearly brings the best form and he's the horse to beat. All three of his runs for the in-form Theodore yard have had merit and if he replicates any of them, he should go close. He gets a low draw, a suitable jockey booking and the stable is flying. The only question is how he handles the dirt for the first time. One that does handle the surface is BRIGHT SHOW (8), who was placed at the track last start. She gets a claim here and should be able to run along on speed. The recent form is TANCREDI (3) is OK for a race like this, while STRASBEAU (5) and SPILL THE MONEY (11) both have each-way claims. SUGGESTED PLAY: PIRATE (2) should be winning.